Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 26
- Referee: Kaivoja K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Baranov N. 🟥,
- 24', Gilmore L. 🟨,
- 24', Hoim O. 🟥,
- 37', Kauber K. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Kapper S. ⚽, Sild J. (A),
- 45+1', Miller M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Pajo T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Villota M. 🟨,
- 59', Vallik V. 🟥,
- 63', Victor Hugo 🟨,
- 64', Anier H. 🟨,
- 67', Suso M. ↓, Luts D. ↑,
- 67', Lilander M. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
- 72', Villota M. ↓, Aer S. ↑,
- 84', Saliste J. ↓, Luts S. ↑,
- 86', Kauber K. ↓, Veensalu E. ↑,
- 86', Gilmore L. ↓, Corr P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pärnu Vaprus
25.8% | Draw
25% | Paide LM
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.66 ↑
(3.42) |
3.76 ↓
(3.96) |
1.91 ↑
(1.86) |
6.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paide (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 1.
- In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
- Pärnu Vaprus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Paide could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:41. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Paide LM?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Paide LM has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM were as follows:
18.06.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Paide LM
1:2
09.04.2025
Paide LM
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:0
23.10.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Paide LM
0:1
18.08.2024
Paide LM
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:0
18.06.2024
Paide LM
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:1
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Latest results of Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 63:21 | 42 | 59 |
| 2 | Flora | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | Paide | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 43:22 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 50:29 | 21 | 47 |
| 5 | Narva | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46:33 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 45:34 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 33:60 | -27 | 22 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 27:53 | -26 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 25:55 | -30 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 26 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 24:83 | -59 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
