Result
08/05/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
TPS
19.5% | Draw
22.4% | HJK
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
TPS - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.84 ↓
(6) |
4.2 ↓
(4.6) |
1.61 ↑
(1.38) |
6.8%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 0.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- HJK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, HJK is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, TPS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:41. (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against HJK?
TPS has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against TPS?
HJK has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - HJK were as follows:
21.02.2026
HJK
-
TPS
3:1
28.03.2024
HJK
-
TPS
5:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AC Oulu | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | HJK | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | KuPS | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Inter Turku | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | TPS | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | VPS | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Lahti | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | SJK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Jaro | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Gnistan | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Ilves | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 2 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
