Result
1:0
04/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (389/454) | 88% (397/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (389/454) | 88% (397/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 58% (21/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (85/118) | 75% (98/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Cicale A. ⚽, Mentu P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Neemias 🟨,
- 67', Pukki T. ↓, Borchers M. ↑,
- 67', Mentu P. ↓, Kirilov M. ↑,
- 74', Martim Augusto 🟨,
- 75', Martim Augusto ↓, Heikkinen D. ↑,
- 75', Moller L. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
- 75', Andersson E. ↓, Koskinen O. ↑,
- 79', Neemias ↓, Lindholm A. ↑,
- 84', Kirilov M. 🟨,
- 88', Cassubie Y. ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
- 88', Bogicevic M. 🟨,
- 89', Neemias 🟨,
- 90+2', Cicale A. ↓, Ezeh D. ↑,
Chances of winning
HJK
61.6% | Draw
22.1% | Lahti
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
HJK - Lahti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.46) |
4.29 ↓
(4.48) |
5.73 ↓
(6.6) |
6.4%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for HJK - Lahti?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Lahti will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): HJK will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 1.
- HJK is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lahti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, HJK is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in HJK: Cissokho T.
(Inactive)
Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in HJK: Ring A.
(Inactive)
- We predict that HJK will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Lahti?
HJK has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lahti won against HJK?
Lahti has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - Lahti were as follows:
24.01.2026
Lahti
-
HJK
2:0
03.08.2024
Lahti
-
HJK
2:1
11.04.2024
HJK
-
Lahti
4:0
27.02.2024
Lahti
-
HJK
3:0
08.07.2023
HJK
-
Lahti
0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AC Oulu | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | HJK | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | KuPS | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | TPS | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | VPS | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Lahti | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | SJK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Jaro | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Ilves | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Mariehamn | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
