Auda Riga vs Riga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Latvian Virsliga Auda Riga - Riga
Result
1:3
27/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 20
Auda Riga - Riga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.632.16
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1426
Shots on target
410
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
86% (396/461)84% (304/363)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.632.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.823.04
Total shots
1426
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
511
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
819
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1241
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
177
Passes
86% (396/461)84% (304/363)
Long passes
41% (18/44)59% (27/46)
Passes in final third
79% (107/136)72% (78/109)
Crosses
0% (0/15)39% (11/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.361.93
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
717
Tackles
55% (6/11)65% (13/20)
Duels won
3945
Clearances
3019
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
3.040.82
Goals prevented
-0.05-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Regza M. , Diop M. (A),
  • 17', 0 - 2, Musah B. , Grimaldo J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 2, Rubenis O. ,
  • 58', Traore A. , Monteiro E. ,
  • 69', Regza M. 🟨,
  • 77', Tonisevs M. , Birka E. ,
  • 77', Grimaldo J. , Contreras A. ,
  • 77', Kone I. , Clemente M. ,
  • 83', Diawara B. , Novikovs J. ,
  • 84', Kragliks R. , Jeudi S. ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Cernomordijs A. ,
  • 90', Regza M. , Taiwo A. ,
  • 90', Iago Siqueira , Ibrahim H. ,
  • 90+6', Diop M. , Mankenda G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Auda Riga
14.2%
Draw
20.6%
Riga
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.4% 22.6% 60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 23% 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Auda Riga - Riga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.54
    (5.2)
    4.5
    (4)
    1.43
    (1.51)
    7.6%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Auda Riga - Riga?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Riga will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Auda (votes: 1 - 25%). Riga (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auda won 0.
    • Auda is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Riga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Auda has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Riga is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Auda won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 6:27. (average 0.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - Riga were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Auda Riga - Riga 1:3
    10.03.2025 Riga - Auda Riga 2:2
    14.09.2024 Auda Riga - Riga 2:2
    26.06.2024 Riga - Auda Riga 1:0
    05.05.2024 Auda Riga - Riga 1:2
    Latest results of Auda Riga
    22.06.2025 RFS - Auda Riga 1:0
    18.06.2025 Grobiņa - Auda Riga 1:2
    13.06.2025 Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga 2:4
    29.05.2025 Auda Riga - Metta LU 4:1
    24.05.2025 Liepāja - Auda Riga 0:0
    Latest results of Riga
    22.06.2025 Riga - Super Nova 2:0
    18.06.2025 Riga - RFS 3:1
    14.06.2025 Grobiņa - Riga 0:2
    08.06.2025 Porto - Riga 0:2
    31.05.2025 Riga - Tukums 2000 3:0
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC21173151:123954
    2RFS21161451:193249
    3FK Liepaja21105635:31435
    4Auda21104731:23834
    5BFC Daugavpils2175930:40-1026
    6Jelgava2166919:23-424
    7Grobina21541220:41-2119
    8Super Nova2139925:31-618
    9Tukums 200021461123:39-1618
    10Metta21351317:43-2614

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Auda Riga - Riga?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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