Result
1:1
28/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (242/321) | 82% (320/392) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (242/321) | 82% (320/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (15/48) | 35% (16/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (48/83) | 62% (67/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Puzirevskis A. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Patijcuks D. ⚽, Korobenko A. (A),
- 42', Silva A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Silva A. 🟨,
- 54', Korobenko A. 🟨,
- 54', Haidara A. ↓, Martins M. ↑,
- 60', Leitans G. 🟨,
- 65', Fellipe Vieira ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 66', Gueye D. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
- 68', Leidsman K. 🟨,
- 70', Matyushenko I. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Puzirevskis A. ⚽, Dobrecovs D. (A),
- 80', Rupeiks K. 🟨,
- 80', Patijcuks D. 🟨,
- 84', Aruna A. ↓, Gaucis R. ↑,
- 84', Puzirevskis A. ↓, Kholod A. ↑,
- 90', Patrikejevs I. 🟨,
- 90+2', Krautmanis J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
61.1% | Draw
22.4% | Grobiņa
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-17.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grobiņa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liepāja - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.56) |
4.12 ↑
(4) |
5.58 ↑
(5.01) |
8.6%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - Grobiņa?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Liepāja will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 4.
- Recent performances by Liepāja have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Grobiņa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Liepāja is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Grobiņa?
Liepāja has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Liepāja?
Grobiņa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Grobiņa were as follows:
21.09.2025
Grobiņa
-
Liepāja
0:1
30.06.2025
Liepāja
-
Grobiņa
2:0
10.05.2025
Grobiņa
-
Liepāja
2:0
26.10.2024
Grobiņa
-
Liepāja
1:3
03.08.2024
Liepāja
-
Grobiņa
0:1
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 33:12 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Auda | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 5 | Super Nova | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Jelgava | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:22 | -15 | 8 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
