Result
0:1
21/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (189/271) | 78% (274/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (189/271) | 78% (274/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (18/62) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/92) | 65% (62/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Doudou P. 🟨,
- 22', Melnis B. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 22', Silva A. ↓, Iljins K. ↑,
- 42', Baravykas R. 🟨,
- 45', Girdvainis E. 🟨,
- 45+1', Sidorovs M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Iljins K. 🟨,
- 54', Dobrecovs D. ↓, Agapov M. ↑,
- 63', Diaw M. ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 71', Agapov M. 🟨,
- 81', Fjodorovs M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 0 - 1, Gueye D. ⚽,
- 90+3', Leidsman K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Puzirevskis A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grobiņa
21.2% | Draw
23.9% | Liepāja
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Grobiņa - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↓
(4.52) |
3.88 ↓
(3.95) |
1.69 ↑
(1.63) |
8%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grobiņa - Liepāja?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Grobiņa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Liepāja will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 2.
- Grobiņa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Liepāja has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Liepāja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Liepāja has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Liepāja is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Liepāja?
Grobiņa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Grobiņa?
Liepāja has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grobiņa - Liepāja were as follows:
30.06.2025
Liepāja
-
Grobiņa
2:0
10.05.2025
Grobiņa
-
Liepāja
2:0
26.10.2024
Grobiņa
-
Liepāja
1:3
03.08.2024
Liepāja
-
Grobiņa
0:1
29.05.2024
Liepāja
-
Grobiņa
3:0
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 76 |
| 2 | RFS | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 70 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 51:43 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:54 | -7 | 43 |
| 5 | Auda | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 38:39 | -1 | 43 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 26 |
| 9 | Metta | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 24 |
| 10 | Grobina | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28:56 | -28 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
