Result
0:2
29/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (180/239) | 88% (424/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (180/239) | 88% (424/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 74% (45/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 75% (107/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Escorcia L. 🟥,
- 20', Salas J. ↓, Balanta Carabali K. A. ↑,
- 24', Mosquera J. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Pons L. ⚽, Flores L. (A),
- 30', Marulanda J. 🟨,
- 38', Balanta J. 🟨,
- 42', Marulanda J. 🟨,
- 45', Gil Mosquera F. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Arroyo A. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
- 60', De Las Salas C. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
- 63', Ricaurte A. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 66', Cuero S. 🟨,
- 72', Flores L. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 73', Londono K. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 2, Sambueza F. ⚽, Pons L. (A),
- 77', Ramiirez S. ↓, Pajaro R. ↑,
- 77', Aristizabal E. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 78', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
- 80', Zarate A. ↓, Charrupi F. ↑,
- 81', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
- 89', Valencia S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
36.5% | Draw
31.9% | Atlético Bucaramanga
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.53) |
2.93 ↓
(3.02) |
2.97 ↑
(2.9) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 2)
- Fortaleza has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bucaramanga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
26.11.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:2
26.09.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
13.04.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Fortaleza CEIF
4:0
09.11.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:0
22.04.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:2
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Junior | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
