Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Bayern Munich
Result
2:1
08/05/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
albaniaAlbaniaRTSH
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
belgiumBelgiumRTL
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Ultra
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro
netherlandsNetherlandsRTL 7
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport, RTS Serbia
swedenSwedenTV4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.290.41
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
198
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
62
Free Kicks
1211
Corner Kicks
84
Offsides
02
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Fouls
1110
Yellow Cards
10
Total Passes
651486
Completed Passes
581415
Tackles
1414
Attacks
13761
Dangerous Attacks
7124
Clearances Completed
624
Crosses Completed
40
Distance Covered (km)
117120

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Gnabry S. , Davies A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 1, Davies A. , Kane H. (A),
  • 69', Kroos T. , Modric L. ,
  • 70', Tchouameni A. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 76', Sane L. , Kim Min-Jae ,
  • 81', Rodrygo , Diaz B. ,
  • 81', Valverde F. , Joselu ,
  • 84', Kane H. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 85', Musiala J. , Muller T. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Joselu , Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Joselu , Rudiger A. (A),
  • 90+7', Tuchel T. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Bellingham J. , Militao E. ,
  • 90+11', Camavinga E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
49.2%
Draw
25%
Bayern Munich
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 25.2% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 24.7% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Real Madrid - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.93)
    3.86
    (3.78)
    3.73
    (3.73)
    3.5%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Univision, TUDN
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (138 of 166 users predict this - 83.13%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.43%88.83%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 2.
    • Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Bayern is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Muscle Injury) Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Coman K. (Muscle Injury) Guerreiro R. (Ankle Injury) Marusic G. (Knee Injury) Sarr B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    30.04.2024 Bayern Munich - Real Madrid 2:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    04.05.2024 Real Madrid - Cádiz 3:0
    21.04.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 3:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

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