North Carolina vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
4:2
18/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.50
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
81% (325/400)76% (267/353)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.51
Total shots
147
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
912
Passes
81% (325/400)76% (267/353)
Long passes
41% (31/75)45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
67% (85/126)65% (81/125)
Crosses
8% (1/12)5% (1/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.93
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
129
Tackles
88% (7/8)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4349
Clearances
2527
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
1.511.96
Goals prevented
-0.49-2.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', Rafa Mentzingen 🟨,
  • 18', Rendon B. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Rafa Mentzingen ⚽,
  • 41', Blake J. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Murphy J. ⚽, Amoh E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', O'Brien J. ↓, Hogan P. ↑,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Servania J. ⚽, Perez L. (A),
  • 55', 3 - 1, Conway E. ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
  • 59', Martin C. 🟨,
  • 64', Amoh E. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
  • 64', Murphy J. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
  • 64', Williams R. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
  • 71', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Burner P. ↑,
  • 71', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
  • 74', 4 - 1, Pedro Becker ⚽, Perez L. (A),
  • 81', Perez L. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
  • 81', Pedro Becker ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Blake J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


North Carolina
49.4%		Draw
27%		Indy Eleven
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 26.7% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 27.7% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
    •

    North Carolina - Indy Eleven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.95 ↓
    (2.06)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.52)    		 4.08 ↑
    (3.38)    		 4%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for North Carolina - Indy Eleven?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 1.
    • Recent form of North Carolina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Indy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
    • North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Indy Eleven were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Indy Eleven - North Carolina 2:2
    21.09.2024 North Carolina - Indy Eleven 2:0
    27.04.2024 Indy Eleven - North Carolina 2:1
    Latest results of North Carolina
    11.07.2025 North Carolina - Birmingham Legion 2:3 ✺
    06.07.2025 Charleston Battery - North Carolina 1:0 ✺
    29.06.2025 Louisville City - North Carolina 1:0
    20.06.2025 North Carolina - Louisville City 2:1
    14.06.2025 Rhode Island - North Carolina 2:1
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    12.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Rhode Island 1:0
    05.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 3:0
    25.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven 3:1
    21.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    14.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:0
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy