Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Football Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus
Result
2:0
12/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.810.07
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
172
Shots on target
70
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
87% (544/624)76% (254/336)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.810.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.020.00
Total shots
172
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
131
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
303
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
911
Passes
87% (544/624)76% (254/336)
Long passes
33% (17/51)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
79% (178/225)50% (42/84)
Crosses
33% (6/18)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
3.200.11
Fouls
119
Tackles
70% (16/23)67% (14/21)
Duels won
5254
Clearances Total
1523
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.002.02
Goals prevented
0.00-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Nogami Y. 🟨,
  • 36', Ono M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Asano Y. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
  • 46', Nakayama K. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Jebali I. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
  • 67', Ono M. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
  • 74', Shiihashi K. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Yamashita R. ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
  • 77', Juan Alano ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
  • 77', Mateus ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
  • 85', Kurokawa K. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
  • 85', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
  • 90+2', Jebali I. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
39.5%		Draw
30.1%		Nagoya Grampus
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 30.7% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 31.7% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
    •

    Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.38 ↓
    (2.49)    		 3.1 ↑
    (3.06)    		 3.07 ↑
    (2.98)    		 6.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 3.
    • Gamba Osaka is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Nagoya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Egawa Y. (Injury) Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Tokumoto S. (Muscle Injury) Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury) Yamanaka R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 37:36 (average 1.9:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:22 (average 1.8:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 3:2
    11.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0:1
    21.10.2023 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 0:1
    06.05.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 1:0
    27.08.2022 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0:2
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    06.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺
    02.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 3:3 ✺
    20.03.2025 Kochi United - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    16.03.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    06.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺
    02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC 2:1 ✺
    20.03.2025 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nagoya Grampus 0:3
    15.03.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto29167653:312255
    2Kashima Antlers29174844:271755
    3Kashiwa Reysol29159542:281454
    4Vissel Kobe30166837:261154
    5Machida30156946:321451
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima30156935:211451
    7Kawasaki Frontale29139753:381548
    8Urawa Reds29138839:31847
    9Gamba Osaka301341339:44-543
    10Cerezo Osaka29119946:41542
    11Okayama291161226:29-339
    12Avispa Fukuoka299101030:32-237
    13Shimizu S-Pulse29991132:36-436
    14FC Tokyo29971331:42-1134
    15Nagoya Grampus29881335:42-732
    16Verdy29881316:29-1332
    17Yokohama F. Marinos29671626:38-1225
    18Shonan Bellmare29671626:50-2425
    19Yokohama FC29661719:36-1724
    20Albirex Niigata29481727:49-2220

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          Relegation ~ J2 League

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