AFC Wimbledon vs Barrow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
22/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 38
  • Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.08
Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
1412
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
27
Blocked Shots
63
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Free Kicks
612
Offsides
41
Fouls
126
Throw-ins
1825
Touches in the Opposition Box
2215
Passes
79% (391/493)72% (231/320)
Passes in the final third
63% (104/165)60% (64/107)
Crosses
29% (6/21)14% (3/21)
Tackles
50% (7/14)29% (2/7)
Clearances Total
2838
Interceptions
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 60', 1 - 0, Browne M. , Lewis J. (A),
  • 65', Whitfield B. , Campbell D. ,
  • 80', Gotts R. , Mahoney C. ,
  • 80', Spence K. , Fletcher I. ,
  • 80', Smith T. , Acquah E. ,
  • 81', Hutchinson S. , Ogundere I. ,
  • 81', Browne M. , Kelly J. ,
  • 81', Tilley J. , Furlong J. ,
  • 85', 2 - 0, Stevens M. , Neufville J. (A),
  • 88', 2 - 1, Campbell D. , Newby E. (A),
  • 90+1', Johnson R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Kelly J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Mahoney C. , Fletcher I. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
47.2%
Draw
29.3%
Barrow
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 28.2% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 30.8% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Barrow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.84)
    3.17
    (3.32)
    4.03
    (4.43)
    6.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Barrow?
  • Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Wimbledon will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J. (Injury) Lewis J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Barrow: Vassell T. (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Barrow were as follows:
    16.11.2024 Barrow - AFC Wimbledon 1:3
    10.02.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Barrow 2:0
    21.10.2023 Barrow - AFC Wimbledon 0:0
    25.03.2023 Barrow - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    27.08.2022 AFC Wimbledon - Barrow 0:1
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Barrow
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    04.03.2025 Notts County - Barrow 1:2
    27.02.2025 Barrow - Carlisle United 0:1
    22.02.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Barrow 3:0
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One