Napoli vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 23
  • Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 3
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3, Cosmote Sport 4K
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV, Vidio
iraqIraqAl Rabiaa Sport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tanzaniaTanzaniaZBC 2 Tanzania
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.791.36
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
65
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
44
Passes
88% (423/482)85% (357/418)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.791.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.851.86
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
68
Blocked shots
72
Shots inside the box
1312
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3318
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1321
Passes
88% (423/482)85% (357/418)
Long passes
53% (29/55)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
79% (99/126)66% (48/73)
Crosses
20% (2/10)57% (8/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.05
Throw ins
149
Fouls
2113
Tackles
50% (4/8)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
2125
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
1.861.85
Goals prevented
0.86-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Vergara A. , Meret A. (A),
  • 30', Di Lorenzo G. , Olivera M. ,
  • 44', Fabbian G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Fabbian G. , Mandragora R. ,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Gutierrez M. , Vergara A. (A),
  • 54', Buongiorno A. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Solomon M. ,
  • 70', Brescianini M. , Kean M. ,
  • 70', Gosens R. , Ranieri L. ,
  • 70', Solomon M. , Parisi F. ,
  • 79', Gudmundsson A. , Fazzini J. ,
  • 84', Vergara A. , Giovane ,
  • 90+1', Hojlund R. , Lukaku R. ,

Chances of winning


Napoli
49.7%
Draw
28.9%
Fiorentina
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 25.6% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 25.1% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napoli's form might have worsened.
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Napoli - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.66)
    3.32
    (3.71)
    4.48
    (5.55)
    4.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Napoli - Fiorentina?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Fiorentina (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Napoli (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Napoli will win (61 of 74 users predict this - 82.43%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.76%91.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (39 of 39 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 46 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 40 - 87%). Fiorentina (votes: 6 - 13%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Napoli is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) David Neres (Ankle Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Politano M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Mazzocchi P. (Concussion) Milinkovic-Savic V. (Muscle Injury) Rrahmani A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Parisi F. (Thigh Injury) Piccoli R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:25. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Fiorentina were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3
    09.03.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1
    04.01.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 0:3
    17.05.2024 Fiorentina - Napoli 2:2
    18.01.2024 Napoli - Fiorentina 3:0
    Latest results of Napoli
    28.01.2026 Napoli - Chelsea 2:3
    25.01.2026 Juventus - Napoli 3:0
    20.01.2026 Copenhagen - Napoli 1:1
    17.01.2026 Napoli - Sassuolo 1:0
    14.01.2026 Napoli - Parma 0:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    27.01.2026 Fiorentina - Como 1:3
    24.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:2
    18.01.2026 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:2
    11.01.2026 Fiorentina - Milan 1:1
    07.01.2026 Lazio - Fiorentina 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter29222565:234268
    2AC Milan29179344:212360
    3Napoli29185645:301559
    4Como29159548:222654
    5Juventus29158651:282353
    6AS Roma291631039:231651
    7Atalanta291211640:271347
    8Bologna291261138:34442
    9Lazio291010929:28140
    10Sassuolo291151335:39-438
    11Udinese291061333:42-936
    12Parma298101121:36-1534
    13Genoa29891236:40-433
    14Torino29961432:50-1833
    15Cagliari29791331:41-1030
    16Fiorentina296101334:43-928
    17Lecce29761621:39-1827
    18Cremonese29591523:44-2124
    19Pisa292121523:49-2618
    20Verona29391722:51-2918

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B