Result
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Gnistan
33.8% | Draw
24.5% | KuPS Kuopio
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+2%)
Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(2.78) |
3.85 ↓
(3.9) |
2.26 ↓
(2.29) |
6.5%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 4)
- Gnistan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- KuPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gnistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gnistan has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.8:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against KuPS Kuopio?
Gnistan has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Gnistan?
KuPS Kuopio has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
01.07.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Gnistan
6:2
27.04.2025
Gnistan
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:2
07.07.2024
KuPS Kuopio
-
Gnistan
3:1
19.05.2024
Gnistan
-
KuPS Kuopio
0:0
Latest results of Gnistan
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 48:20 | 28 | 49 |
| 2 | Ilves | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 51:29 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | HJK | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 45 |
| 4 | KuPS | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 44 |
| 5 | SJK | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:34 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 34:41 | -7 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
