Jong Utrecht vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.341.45
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
35
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
28
Passes
85% (402/471)79% (350/445)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.341.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.811.26
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
810
Blocked shots
04
Shots inside the box
913
Shots outside the box
26
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
2940
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free kicks
914
Passes
85% (402/471)79% (350/445)
Long passes
53% (26/49)51% (32/63)
Passes in final third
70% (83/118)67% (110/163)
Crosses
27% (3/11)36% (12/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.53
Throw ins
1119
Fouls
149
Tackles
44% (4/9)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4149
Clearances
5018
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
1.260.81
Goals prevented
0.260.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 42', 1 - 0, Besselink G. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Demircan E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 61', El Allouchi M. , Culum A. ,
  • 61', Besselink G. 🟨,
  • 61', Doodeman N. , Bamba S. ,
  • 63', van der Wegen S. 🟨,
  • 64', Blake A. , Adiele E. ,
  • 71', den Boggende T. , Dundas N. ,
  • 75', Besselink G. , van Aalst U. ,
  • 75', Et Taibi A. , van Loon P. ,
  • 78', Demircan E. , Menzo B. ,
  • 78', Jensen M. , El Arguioui R. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Haen D. , Verheydt T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Utrecht
39.6%
Draw
23.2%
Willem II
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 21.6% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 21.9% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Jong Utrecht - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.38)
    4
    (4.33)
    2.5
    (2.38)
    7.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Willem II will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Willem II (2.01) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Willem II (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB, 1st Half - Willem II (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Willem II (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Recent performances by Jong Utrecht have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Willem II is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Utrecht - Willem II were as follows:
    29.08.2025 Willem II - Jong Utrecht 2:1
    08.04.2024 Jong Utrecht - Willem II 1:1
    10.11.2023 Willem II - Jong Utrecht 2:1
    12.05.2023 Willem II - Jong Utrecht 3:0
    29.08.2022 Jong Utrecht - Willem II 0:0
    Latest results of Jong Utrecht
    02.02.2026 Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo 2:2
    26.01.2026 Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht 2:2
    19.01.2026 Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV 5:3
    10.01.2026 Excelsior Maassluis - Jong Utrecht Canceled
    Latest results of Willem II
    08.02.2026 Willem II - Waalwijk 2:1
    02.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Willem II 2:1
    23.01.2026 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    18.01.2026 FC Eindhoven - Willem II 0:2
    21.12.2025 Helmond Sport - Willem II 2:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur28196360:322863
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City291331360:501042
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )