Result
2:0
20/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Trujillo F. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (414/469) | 84% (337/400) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (414/469) | 84% (337/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (40/56) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (83/107) | 71% (92/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Rengifo J. 🟨,
- 42', Cardona E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Roman A. ⚽, Arango C. (A),
- 62', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 70', Bello E. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
- 70', Arango C. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
- 70', Batalla E. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 71', Charrupi F. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
- 81', Cardona E. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 84', Sambueza F. 🟨,
- 87', Uribe M. ↓, Marin F. ↑,
- 87', Rengifo J. ↓, Rios X. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 0, Moreno M. ⚽, Campuzano J. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5c5xzyzx
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
48.1% | Draw
28.6% | Atlético Bucaramanga
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.66) |
3.28 ↓
(3.62) |
4 ↓
(5.01) |
6.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Nacional will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
- Atlético Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 1.
- Atlético Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bucaramanga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Atlético Nacional has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Atlético Nacional?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
13.09.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:1
28.03.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Atlético Nacional
2:0
06.02.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
29.01.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:1
23.09.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
