Result
0:1
11/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (294/352) | 90% (549/610) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (294/352) | 90% (549/610) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 63% (26/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 76% (99/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Whitmore K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Yfeko J. ↓, Swinkels S. ↑,
- 46', Oakes L. ↓, Brierley E. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 1, Turns E. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
- 58', Garner G. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
- 61', McMillan J. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
- 61', Niskanen I. ↓, Andrew D. ↑,
- 71', Lloyd B. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 72', Ogunneye H. ↓, Pugh H. ↑,
- 75', Wareham J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
- 77', Pugh H. 🟨,
- 83', Kamwa B. ↓, Alexander-Walker M. ↑,
- 89', Evans C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newport County
26.7% | Draw
25.6% | Exeter City
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Newport County - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↓
(3.68) |
3.62 ↑
(3.52) |
2 ↑
(1.92) |
6.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Newport County - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
Exeter City will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Exeter City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
- In recent matches, Newport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Exeter is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Exeter is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newport won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Exeter City?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Newport County?
Exeter City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Exeter City were as follows:
30.08.2022
Exeter City
-
Newport County
1:2
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Exeter City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
