Result
0:1
26/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos, Flow Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/451) | 71% (215/301) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/451) | 71% (215/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (124/169) | 51% (38/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (14/41) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽, Sosa R. (A),
- 45+4', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Lopez J. ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 58', Allan Elias ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
- 61', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 61', Mosquera H. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 61', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 64', Felipe Anderson 🟨,
- 75', Andreas Pereira ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 78', Giay A. 🟨,
- 86', Arias J. ↓, Khellven ↑,
- 86', Sosa R. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 88', Gabriel ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 88', Hurtado A. ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
34.2% | Draw
30.4% | Palmeiras
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(3.28) |
3.11 ↑
(3.05) |
2.67 ↑
(2.21) |
5.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 25.1% – 83.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 0.
- RB Bragantino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Palmeiras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Palmeiras?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Palmeiras has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras were as follows:
15.10.2025
Palmeiras
-
Red Bull Bragantino
5:1
18.05.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Palmeiras
1:2
28.01.2025
Palmeiras
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:0
05.10.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Palmeiras
0:0
20.06.2024
Palmeiras
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
