Result
3:3
30/08/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Kaleia M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | AZFS, ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (263/315) | 90% (448/499) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (263/315) | 90% (448/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 77% (34/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 78% (127/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 38% (9/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.88 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Sacko I. ⚽, Flores D. (A),
- 9', Ortiz A. 🟨,
- 25', Essengue A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 47', 2 - 0, Sacko I. ⚽, Arase K. (A),
- 53', 3 - 0, Johnson D. ⚽, Arase K. (A),
- 55', Daroma F. 🟨,
- 57', Arase K. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
- 58', Scearce J. 🟨,
- 60', Daroma F. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 61', Sorto C. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
- 64', Essengue A. 🟨,
- 65', Avayevu H. ↓, Mar Boye P. ↑,
- 72', Rakovsky P. 🟨,
- 73', 3 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽, Ruiz R. (A),
- 76', Sacko I. ↓, Emmers X. ↑,
- 76', Johnson D. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
- 76', Flores D. ↓, Czichos ↑,
- 79', Avila R. ↓, Dollenmayer N. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Gabriel Torres ⚽, Twumasi K. (A),
- 81', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 3, Ruiz R. ⚽,
- 90+9', Sainte C. F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Phoenix Rising
39.9% | Draw
27.5% | El Paso Locomotive
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Rising that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Paso Locomotive could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.72) |
3.35 ↑
(3.32) |
2.83 ↑
(2.42) |
8.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 2.
- Phoenix Rising has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El Paso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against El Paso Locomotive?
Phoenix Rising has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Phoenix Rising?
El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
19.07.2025
El Paso Locomotive
-
Phoenix Rising
2:3
15.03.2025
El Paso Locomotive
-
Phoenix Rising
4:4
19.07.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
El Paso Locomotive
2:0
15.06.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Phoenix Rising
1:1
23.09.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
Phoenix Rising
1:1
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
