Result
5:2
26/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 17
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (229/284) | 90% (455/508) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (229/284) | 90% (455/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 71% (29/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (56/74) | 81% (132/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 0% (0/3) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | -3.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 2)
- 14', 1 - 0, Hinestroza M. ⚽, Campuzano J. (A),
- 24', 2 - 0, Hinestroza M. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 1, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Barrera J. (A),
- 40', 3 - 1, Sarmiento A. ⚽, Hinestroza M. (A),
- 44', 4 - 1, Roman A. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
- 45+6', 4 - 2, Chaverra F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Palacios J. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 62', Barrera J. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 63', 5 - 2, Tesillo W. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
- 64', Morelos A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 64', Sarmiento A. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
- 76', Cardona E. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 76', Perlaza B. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
- 76', Hinestroza M. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
- 76', Garcia M. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
- 86', Campuzano J. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4h28vr7z
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
46.3% | Draw
28.7% | Independiente Medellín
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.67) |
3.3 ↓
(3.84) |
3.74 ↓
(4.67) |
5.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Atlético Nacional will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Medellín has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
07.09.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
3:3
04.05.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
23.03.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
17.11.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
11.11.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Medellin ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 43:28 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 37:22 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 27:16 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | Fortaleza ✔ | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25:17 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Junior | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | America De Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 26 |
| 9 | Alianza | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 26 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 26 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 25 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 25 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 | Pereira | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:32 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13:25 | -12 | 16 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
