Result
07/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
35.2% | Draw
31.7% | Atlético Nacional
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↓
(2.85) |
2.95 ↑
(2.83) |
2.8 ↑
(2.72) |
7.5%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
- Ind Medellín has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Atlético Nacional has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Medellín has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
04.05.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
23.03.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
17.11.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
11.11.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
31.10.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
2:0
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Pereira | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Chico | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Once Caldas | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 19 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
