Result
2:2
21/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16
- Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Daniel Borges ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ramos R. ↓, Thio ↑,
- 46', Busnic A. ↓, Moha Moukhliss ↑,
- 47', Rhyner J. 🟨,
- 50', Fernandez P. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Kitala Y. ⚽,
- 63', Kitala Y. ↓, Fortune Y. ↑,
- 64', Loppy D. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
- 64', Pires M. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
- 70', Godwin O. ↓, Cvijanovic I. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Maga ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
- 76', Munoz J. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 76', Michel D. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Marcelo (Own goal),
- 81', Daniel Borges 🟨,
- 83', Lucho Vega 🟨,
- 85', Martins D. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
- 89', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Marcelo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leiria
35.4% | Draw
31.1% | Vizela
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+3%)
Leiria - Vizela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↓
(2.63) |
2.97 ↓
(3.3) |
2.78 ↑
(2.58) |
8.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leiria - Vizela?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Vizela will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 59% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Leiria (2.10) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - Vizela (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 25%). Vizela (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Leiria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Leiria has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Leiria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Vizela?
Leiria has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vizela won against Leiria?
Vizela has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Vizela were as follows:
19.01.2025
Vizela
-
Leiria
1:0
11.08.2024
Leiria
-
Vizela
0:2
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
