Salford City vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 18
  • Referee: Coy M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.61
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
64% (181/283)75% (264/353)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.61
xG on target (xGOT)
4.031.86
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
3321
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
814
Passes
64% (181/283)75% (264/353)
Long passes
27% (19/70)30% (20/66)
Passes in final third
55% (72/131)57% (59/104)
Crosses
26% (7/27)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.170.40
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
148
Tackles
55% (11/20)53% (10/19)
Duels won
6057
Clearances
2656
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.864.03
Goals prevented
-0.140.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Watson L. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Oluwo A. (Own goal),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Oluwo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 47', McKirdy H. (Pen),
  • 53', Tshimanga K. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Butcher M. , Grant J. (A),
  • 55', Oluwo A. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 2, Forster H. ,
  • 61', Mnoga H. , Cesay K. ,
  • 61', Butcher M. , Austerfield J. ,
  • 64', McKirdy H. , Roles J. ,
  • 64', Adeyemo A. , Pereira D. ,
  • 64', Flower L. , Dixon K. ,
  • 69', Stockton C. , Borini F. ,
  • 72', 2 - 3, Williams J. , Roles J. (A),
  • 85', 3 - 3, Austerfield J. , Harris K. (A),
  • 86', 4 - 3, Cesay K. , Austerfield J. (A),
  • 90', Harris K. , Berkoe K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Salford City
52.6%
Draw
24.2%
Crawley Town
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 23% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 22.5% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Salford City - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.71)
    3.91
    (4.04)
    4.03
    (4.08)
    6.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Salford City - Crawley Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Salford City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Salford is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Bird J. (Inactive) Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Edwards T. (Inactive) Rose M. (Leg Injury) Woodburn B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crawley: Barker C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Anderson M. (Thigh Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Crawley Town were as follows:
    13.01.2024 Crawley Town - Salford City 0:1
    12.08.2023 Salford City - Crawley Town 1:1
    28.01.2023 Crawley Town - Salford City 3:2
    03.09.2022 Salford City - Crawley Town 2:2
    Latest results of Salford City
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League