Grimsby Town vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

League Two - Round 10
Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.69	0.37
Ball Possession
77%	23%
Total shots
27	3
Shots on target
13	1
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
8	1
Passes
87% (535/612)	57% (105/184)
Yellow Cards
0	5
Red Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
4.10	0.74
Total shots
27	3
Shots on target
13	1
Shots off target
8	1
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
16	2
Shots outside the Box
11	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
47	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
87% (535/612)	57% (105/184)
Long passes
54% (26/48)	23% (15/66)
Passes in final third
84% (236/281)	42% (30/71)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	0.47
Throw-ins
18	11
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
55% (11/20)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
65	37
Clearances
15	27
Interceptions
3	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.74	4.10
Goals prevented
-0.26	-2.90

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', Kinsella L. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Archer E. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Walker J. ⚽,
41', Pell H. 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Walker J. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
45', Pell H. 🟨,
45+4', Angol L. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Young L. ↑,
51', Angol L. 🟨,
54', 3 - 1, Kabia J. ⚽, McJannett C. (A),
54', Kinsella L. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
59', 4 - 1, Sweeney J. ⚽,
62', 5 - 1, Vernam C. ⚽,
63', Vernam C. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
63', Oduor C. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
67', Kabia J. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
67', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
68', Green K. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
73', Hutchinson I. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
74', Willcox F. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
80', 6 - 1, Sweeney J. ⚽,
81', Power D. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
83', 7 - 1, Khouri E. ⚽, Soonsup-Bell J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
64.5%

Draw
21.3%

Cheltenham Town
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

22.3%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

21.9%

16%

Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)	4.43 ↑ (4.19)	6.71 ↑ (5.74)	6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 76.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cheltenham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Grimsby has had a series of away games.
In this match, Grimsby is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Injury) Thomas J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Rose D. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Mazionis J. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Cheltenham Town?

Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Grimsby Town?

Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town were as follows:

01.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town 1:1

17.08.2024 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 3:2

Latest results of Grimsby Town

20.09.2025 Barnet - Grimsby Town 3:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Grimsby Town 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Grimsby Town - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 2:3 ✺

02.09.2025 Bradford City - Grimsby Town 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

20.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic 0:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

02.09.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

29.08.2025 Salford City - Cheltenham Town 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	23	13	6	4	40:26	14	45
2	Swindon	23	13	4	6	37:26	11	43
3	Walsall	23	13	4	6	32:21	11	43
4	MK Dons	23	11	7	5	44:25	19	40
5	Salford	23	12	4	7	33:30	3	40
6	Notts Co	23	11	6	6	36:25	11	39
7	Chesterfield	23	10	8	5	39:32	7	38
8	Cambridge Utd	23	10	8	5	26:19	7	38
9	Fleetwood	23	9	7	7	32:29	3	34
10	Colchester	23	8	9	6	37:28	9	33
11	Gillingham	23	7	11	5	31:26	5	32
12	Barnet	23	8	8	7	30:25	5	32
13	Crewe	23	9	5	9	34:31	3	32
14	Oldham	23	7	10	6	23:18	5	31
15	Grimsby	23	8	7	8	34:30	4	31
16	Accrington	23	8	6	9	26:26	0	30
17	Tranmere	23	7	8	8	37:37	0	29
18	Cheltenham	23	8	3	12	21:37	-16	27
19	Barrow	23	6	6	11	25:33	-8	24
20	Crawley	23	4	7	12	27:40	-13	19
21	Shrewsbury	23	4	7	12	21:38	-17	19
22	Bristol Rovers	23	5	3	15	18:44	-26	18
23	Newport	23	4	5	14	23:41	-18	17
24	Harrogate	23	4	5	14	18:37	-19	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League