Result
1:3
25/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/415) | 78% (255/328) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/415) | 78% (255/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (29/64) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (74/130) | 50% (28/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.16 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Junior S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kaminthong P. ↓, Weslen Junior ↑,
- 46', Tsonkov S. ↓, Nuntagowat T. ↑,
- 56', Kim Dong-Su 🟨,
- 60', 0 - 2, Sarakum M. ⚽, Ito R. (A),
- 66', Panthong S. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,
- 67', Sawatlakhorn W. ↓, Thodsanid P. ↑,
- 67', Saric M. ↓, Chansri T. ↑,
- 76', Sarakum M. ↓, Ratree S. ↑,
- 78', Thodsanid P. 🟥,
- 86', Nontharath K. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 2, Lorenzen M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Junior S. ⚽,
- 90+10', Phusirit W. ↓, Romphopak S. ↑,
- 90+11', Ito R. ↓, Aleman K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Muangthong United
42.4% | Draw
26% | Rayong FC
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muangthong United's form might have worsened.Rayong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muangthong United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayong FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Muangthong United - Rayong FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.9) |
3.51 ↓
(3.78) |
2.88 ↓
(3.38) |
9.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Muangthong United - Rayong FC?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Rayong FC (1.81) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Muangthong United (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rayong FC (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 6).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Rayong FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Muangthong United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 4:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Rayong FC?
Muangthong United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayong FC won against Muangthong United?
Rayong FC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Rayong FC were as follows:
14.09.2025
Rayong FC
-
Muangthong United
2:0
16.01.2025
Muangthong United
-
Rayong FC
4:0
23.08.2024
Rayong FC
-
Muangthong United
1:1
Latest results of Muangthong United
Latest results of Rayong FC
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 71:23 | 48 | 66 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 27 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33:45 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 19:39 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:39 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
