Result
21/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Narva Trans
51.5% | Draw
24% | Pärnu Vaprus
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Narva Trans's performance.Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Vaprus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Narva Trans that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(2.26) |
3.82 ↑
(3.7) |
3.75 ↑
(2.6) |
9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Narva Trans is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Narva Trans has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Narva Trans?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
15.02.2026
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Narva Trans
0:2
18.10.2025
Narva Trans
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:1
12.07.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Narva Trans
0:0
11.05.2025
Narva Trans
-
Pärnu Vaprus
4:2
23.04.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Narva Trans
1:2
Latest results of Narva Trans
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Kalju | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Nomme Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Flora | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 6 | Kuressaare | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Paide | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Narva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
