Result
1:0
26/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Australia | Channel 10 |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 China | QQ Sports |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Hungary | Spiler1 TV |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (410/464) | 76% (253/331) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (410/464) | 76% (253/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (17/28) | 23% (11/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (130/166) | 43% (31/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Al Nasser S. 🟨,
- 31', Al Mufarrij M. 🟨,
- 33', Brozovic M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Al Dossari M. (Own goal),
- 45+5', Al Khaibari A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Al Alaeli M. 🟨,
- 63', Al Aqel M. S. M. ↓, Al Qahtani M. ↑,
- 63', Al Alaeli M. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 68', Al Nasser S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
- 68', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
- 79', Fulgini A. ↓, Bahusayn A. ↑,
- 87', Victor Hugo ↓, Adam A. ↑,
- 89', Mane S. ↓, Al Amri A. ↑,
- 89', Coman K. ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
- 90+1', Simakan M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Al Ahmad W. 🟨,
- 90+4', Mahzari M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Boushal N. 🟨,
- 90+6', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Al Najdi S. ↑,
- 90+6', El Mahdioui A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Nassr Riyadh
73.8% | Draw
15% | Al-Taawoun
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-14.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nassr Riyadh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.3) |
6.26 ↑
(5.28) |
8.31 ↓
(8.99) |
8.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.75 - Al-Nassr (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Al-Nassr (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Al-Nassr is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Taawoun?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Taawoun won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al-Taawoun has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun were as follows:
29.08.2025
Al-Taawoun
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:5
16.05.2025
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Taawoun
1:1
17.01.2025
Al-Taawoun
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
1:1
29.10.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Taawoun
0:1
14.08.2024
Al-Taawoun
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:2
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Taawoun
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 27 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 76:21 | 55 | 70 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Hazem | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 26 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 23:57 | -34 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25:66 | -41 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
