Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.521.53
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
33
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
84
Passes
76% (304/401)65% (198/306)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.521.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.911.69
Total shots
148
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
137
Shots outside the box
11
Hit the woodwork
21
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free kicks
913
Passes
76% (304/401)65% (198/306)
Long passes
42% (26/62)46% (38/82)
Passes in final third
65% (86/133)49% (59/120)
Crosses
43% (13/30)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.86
Throw ins
2822
Fouls
139
Tackles
50% (6/12)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5163
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
1.691.91
Goals prevented
0.69-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Mandeville L. , Gordon L. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 0, Bonis L. , Braybrooke S. (A),
  • 41', 2 - 1, Kabia J. , Staunton R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Cook A. 🟨,
  • 55', Rodgers H. , Warren T. ,
  • 59', Dobra A. 🟨,
  • 63', Turi G. D. 🟨,
  • 68', Burns D. , Amaluzor J. ,
  • 68', Oduor C. , Walker J. ,
  • 73', Mandeville L. , Markanday D. ,
  • 74', Gordon L. , Donacien J. ,
  • 78', Kabia J. , Vernam C. ,
  • 82', Staunton R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Naylor T. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Stirk R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Staunton R. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
37.4%
Draw
28.3%
Grimsby Town
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 26.5% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 27.1% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Chesterfield - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.24)
    3.31
    (3.5)
    2.74
    (2.9)
    6.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 16.1%74.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to international match.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3.
    • Chesterfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Grimsby is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Grimsby Town - Chesterfield 0:1
    18.01.2025 Grimsby Town - Chesterfield 1:1
    12.11.2024 Chesterfield - Grimsby Town 3:2
    07.09.2024 Chesterfield - Grimsby Town 2:1
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One