Result
0:1
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 16
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (187/300) | 67% (212/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (187/300) | 67% (212/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (30/81) | 20% (16/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (58/120) | 60% (78/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Warren T. 🟨,
- 32', Dunkley C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Pym C. 🟥,
- 55', Vernam C. ↓, Casper C. ↑,
- 56', Kabia J. 🟨,
- 66', Kabia J. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Rodgers H. (Own goal),
- 73', Dunkley C. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
- 77', Rose D. ↓, Gilsenan Z. ↑,
- 77', McEachran G. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
- 77', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
- 79', Darcy R. 🟨,
- 86', Darcy R. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
- 86', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
- 90+5', Bonis L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
44.3% | Draw
27% | Chesterfield
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Grimsby Town - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.28) |
3.49 ↓
(3.52) |
3.25 ↑
(2.83) |
6.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Grimsby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Grimsby could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sweeney J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Dibley-Dias M.
(Knee Injury)
Dobra A.
(Inactive)
Elliott G.
(Inactive)
Stirk R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Grigg W.
(Inactive)
Williams T.
(Surgery)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Chesterfield?
Grimsby Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Grimsby Town?
Chesterfield has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Chesterfield were as follows:
18.01.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Chesterfield
1:1
12.11.2024
Chesterfield
-
Grimsby Town
3:2
07.09.2024
Chesterfield
-
Grimsby Town
2:1
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
