Result
0:3
14/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (332/416) | 78% (298/381) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (332/416) | 78% (298/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (34/67) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (63/96) | 71% (111/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Komatsu R. ⚽, Nagato K. (A),
- 43', Morishima T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Asano Y. ↓, Izumi R. ↑,
- 46', Morishima T. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 2, Ideguchi Y. ⚽, Sasaki D. (A),
- 62', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 62', Sato Y. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 75', Komatsu R. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
- 78', Hara T. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 81', Marcus Vinicius 🟨,
- 84', Goke Y. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 84', Ogihara T. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 3, Nagato K. ⚽,
- 90+2', Hirose R. ↓, Caetano ↑,
- 90+2', Nagato K. ↓, Yamada K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
35.1% | Draw
29.4% | Vissel Kobe
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vissel Kobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nagoya Grampus that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vissel Kobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nagoya Grampus - Vissel Kobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(3.14) |
3.16 ↓
(3.43) |
2.64 ↑
(2.23) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Vissel Kobe?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vissel Kobe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Injury)
Mateus
(Injury)
Morishima T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Knee Injury)
Sakai G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Izumi R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Vissel Kobe?
Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Nagoya Grampus?
Vissel Kobe has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Vissel Kobe were as follows:
15.06.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
22.02.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Vissel Kobe
2:2
20.07.2024
Vissel Kobe
-
Nagoya Grampus
3:3
03.05.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Vissel Kobe
0:2
25.11.2023
Vissel Kobe
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
