Result
0:0
27/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 18
- Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/378) | 79% (275/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/378) | 79% (275/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 37% (22/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (69/101) | 69% (76/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Castellini A. 🟨,
- 34', Abiuso F. 🟨,
- 45+1', Calabrese N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 58', Falletti C. ↓, Artioli F. ↑,
- 58', Fiori A. ↓, Bani C. ↑,
- 61', Sekulov N. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 61', Calabrese N. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 67', Di Stefano F. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 79', Zuelli E. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 79', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
- 86', Wieser D. ↓, Fedel G. ↑,
- 86', Ruocco F. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 90+4', Radaelli N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carrarese 45.4% | Draw 28.1% | Mantova 26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Carrarese - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↓ (2.16) |
3.28 ↑ (3.08) |
3.48 ↓ (3.54) |
7.5% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 39.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 36.2% – 76.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Carrarese could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Arena A.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
Schiavi N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Mantova: Majer Z.
(Inactive)
Mantovani V.
(Calf Injury)
Trimboli S.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Mantova?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Carrarese?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Mantova were as follows:
09.05.2025
Mantova
-
Carrarese
2:1
20.10.2024
Carrarese
-
Mantova
1:1
Latest results of Carrarese
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36:16 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Venezia | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 38 |
| 3 | Monza | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 37 |
| 4 | Palermo | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Cesena | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Modena | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 8 | Empoli | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Padova | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Avellino | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 14 | Sudtirol | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Entella | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Sampdoria | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19:27 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 | Spezia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 18 | Bari | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Mantova | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 16 |
| 20 | Pescara | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 25:37 | -12 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation