Result
1:0
10/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 24
- Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (219/305) | 83% (435/522) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (219/305) | 83% (435/522) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (32/68) | 57% (26/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 78% (123/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 18% (6/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Lasagna K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Seghetti A. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
- 49', Fusi P. 🟨,
- 57', Di Mariano F. ↓, Bortolussi M. ↑,
- 59', Perrotta M. 🟨,
- 60', Zuelli E. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 63', Rouhi J. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
- 63', Illanes J. ↓, Imperiale M. ↑,
- 64', Zanon S. 🟨,
- 66', Oliana F. 🟨,
- 78', Fusi P. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
- 78', Calabrese N. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
- 78', Rubino T. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 80', Varas K. ↓, Giunti G. ↑,
- 81', Belli F. ↓, Sgarbi F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Padova
31% | Draw
31.9% | Carrarese
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Padova's form might have worsened.Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-5%)
Padova - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.4) |
2.96 ↓
(3.2) |
2.55 ↓
(2.85) |
6.5%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Padova - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Carrarese will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 85.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Carrarese (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Padova (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Padova (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Padova (votes: 2 - 25%). Carrarese (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).
- Padova is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Carrarese is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Injury)
Capelli A.
(Yellow Cards)
Caprari G.
(Inactive)
Papu Gomez
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Bouah D.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
Troise A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Padova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Carrarese?
Padova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Padova?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Carrarese were as follows:
31.08.2025
Carrarese
-
Padova
0:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
