Pogoń Szczecin vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
34.1%
Draw
26.8%
Lech Poznań
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 27.9% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 26.9% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.81)
    3.45
    (3.18)
    2.37
    (2.18)
    8.1%
    (12.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
    • Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lech is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2
    01.03.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań 0:3
    25.08.2024 Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0
    07.04.2024 Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    27.02.2024 Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin 0:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan281210649:40946
    2Zaglebie28128842:33944
    3Jagiellonia281110744:35943
    4Gornik Zabrze28127940:33743
    5Wisla Plock28119829:26342
    6Rakow281171037:35240
    7GKS Katowice281241239:38140
    8Motor Lublin28912737:40-339
    9Lechia Gdansk281261055:51437
    10Korona Kielce281071136:34237
    11Cracovia28910933:33037
    12Pogon Szczecin281141338:42-437
    13Piast Gliwice281051334:38-435
    14Legia28713833:32134
    15Radomiak Radom288101043:42134
    16Arka Gdynia28971230:47-1734
    17Widzew Lodz28961333:35-233
    18Termalica B-B28671533:51-1825

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1