Result
1:0
27/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 24
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (304/393) | 78% (344/440) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (304/393) | 78% (344/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 29% (18/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (102/154) | 65% (62/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Nasraoui M. 🟨,
- 44', Kruselj F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Sepic N. 🟨,
- 62', Grgic A. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Nestorovski I. ⚽, Dabro M. (A),
- 66', Radosevic J. 🟨,
- 66', Mauric A. ↓, Rozic V. ↑,
- 67', Medjimorec V. 🟨,
- 74', Kruselj F. ↓, Isasegi K. ↑,
- 77', Frederiksen E. ↓, Ahmeti D. ↑,
- 85', Nasraoui M. ↓, Kadusic A. ↑,
- 87', Mazar F. ↓, Bosnjak L. ↑,
- 87', Nestorovski I. ↓, Jakir A. ↑,
- 90+1', Hadzikic O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
45.6% | Draw
28.2% | Istra 1961
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.15) |
3.32 ↓
(3.38) |
3.56 ↑
(3.1) |
6.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slaven Belupo: 48.7% – 87.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Slaven Belupo (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Slaven Belupo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Slaven Belupo (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 2.
- In recent matches, Slaven Belupo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Istra 1961 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Slaven Belupo could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic I.
(Injury)
Caimacov M.
(Inactive)
Katalinic Z.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Nasraoui M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Nestorovski I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Istra 1961?
Slaven Belupo has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Slaven Belupo?
Istra 1961 has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961 were as follows:
29.11.2025
Istra 1961
-
Slaven Belupo
1:1
12.09.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Istra 1961
2:1
28.04.2025
Istra 1961
-
Slaven Belupo
1:1
23.02.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Istra 1961
0:0
22.11.2024
Istra 1961
-
Slaven Belupo
2:3
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 56:19 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36:21 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
| 9 | Osijek | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
