New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution
Result
5:3
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.312.22
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
88% (456/520)83% (306/368)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
3.312.22
xG on target (xGOT)
3.621.12
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
3614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
88% (456/520)83% (306/368)
Long passes
35% (11/31)43% (20/47)
Passes in final third
80% (140/176)71% (55/77)
Crosses
17% (3/18)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.591.21
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
1712
Tackles
55% (11/20)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4449
Clearances
1716
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.123.62
Goals prevented
-0.88-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Campana L. ⚽,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Duncan K. (Own goal),
  • 45+4', Campana L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 1)
  • 46', Miller P. ↓, Sands W. ↑,
  • 54', Carmona W. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Edelman D. ⚽, Donkor R. (A),
  • 61', Ceballos B. 🟨,
  • 62', Duncan K. ↓, Hack A. ↑,
  • 62', Carmona W. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
  • 62', Edelman D. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
  • 66', Ceballos B. ↓, Omsberg W. ↑,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Forsberg E. (A), Donkor R. (A2)
  • 71', Sofo M. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
  • 71', Valencia O. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Forsberg E. ⚽, Gjengaar D. (A),
  • 73', Bye B. ↓, Feingold I. ↑,
  • 73', Langoni L. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
  • 76', Eile N. 🟨,
  • 80', Beason T. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
  • 83', 4 - 2, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Donkor R. (A),
  • 87', Hughes K. 🟨,
  • 88', 5 - 2, Forsberg E. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 5 - 3, Campana L. ⚽,
  • 90+5', Diaz L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
51.7%		Draw
24.8%		New England Revolution
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 25% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 22% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
    •

    New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.84 ↑
    (1.81)    		 3.8 ↓
    (3.82)    		 4.03 ↓
    (4.27)    		 5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). New England will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 29.2% – 76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • NY Red Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, NY Red Bulls has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, NY Red Bulls is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in New England: Fofana M. (Yellow Cards) Ganago I. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Bono A. (Neck Injury) Feingold I. (Ankle Injury) Miller P. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution were as follows:
    29.03.2025 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    08.06.2024 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 1:0
    11.05.2024 New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution 4:2
    30.08.2023 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 1:0
    22.07.2023 New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution 0:0
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    12.07.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 2:0 ✺
    05.07.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls 1:1 ✺
    25.06.2025 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:1 ✺
    14.06.2025 Austin FC - New York Red Bulls 2:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    12.07.2025 Austin FC - New England Revolution 0:0 ✺
    09.07.2025 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 1:2 ✺
    05.07.2025 Portland Timbers - New England Revolution 2:1 ✺
    25.06.2025 New England Revolution - Nashville SC 2:3 ✺
    14.06.2025 New England Revolution - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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