Rotherham United vs Barnsley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 43
  • Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.141.13
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
29
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
32
Passes
74% (373/506)55% (142/259)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
1.141.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.783.13
Total shots
79
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
40
Blocked shots
10
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
04
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
269
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1310
Passes
74% (373/506)55% (142/259)
Long passes
41% (35/86)18% (13/71)
Passes in final third
57% (64/113)38% (36/96)
Crosses
19% (5/26)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.88
Throw ins
3731
Fouls
1013
Tackles
64% (7/11)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5648
Clearances
1822
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
3.130.78
Goals prevented
0.13-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Phillips A. , Kelly P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Biancheri G. , Martha A. ,
  • 46', Agbaire L. , Hall D. ,
  • 50', Yoganathan V. 🟨,
  • 58', Kelly L. , Watmore D. ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Bradshaw T. , Bland J. (A),
  • 67', Benson J. , Hugill J. ,
  • 69', Banks S. , Cleary R. ,
  • 74', 0 - 3, Bradshaw T. , Phillips A. (A),
  • 78', Phillips A. , Watson T. ,
  • 78', Earl J. , Shepherd J. ,
  • 88', de Gevigney M. 🟨,
  • 89', Bradshaw T. , Farrell L. ,
  • 89', Kelly P. , Roberts M. ,
  • 90+4', O'Connell E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Nombe S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Rotherham United
36.3%
Draw
26.5%
Barnsley
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 26.7% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 26.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Rotherham United - Barnsley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.55)
    3.53
    (3.4)
    2.52
    (2.41)
    6.8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Barnsley?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Barnsley will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rotherham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Powell J. (Injury) Yearwood D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T. (Ankle Injury) Earl J. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Adegboyega E. (Inactive) Agbaire L. (Inactive) Dawson C. (Inactive) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kaleta M. (Injury) McWilliams S. (Inactive) Spence K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Barnsley were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Barnsley - Rotherham United 0:1
    26.08.2025 Barnsley - Rotherham United 2:1
    22.02.2025 Rotherham United - Barnsley 0:1
    08.11.2024 Barnsley - Rotherham United 2:0
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    Latest results of Barnsley
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two