Result
04/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Mechal
45.9% | Draw
30.5% | Adama City
23.7% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Mechal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Adama City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Mechal - Adama City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96
(1.96) |
2.95
(2.95) |
3.8
(3.8) |
11.2%
(11.2%) | |
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 16).
- Mechal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Adama City has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mechal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mechal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Mechal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mechal won against Adama City?
Mechal has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adama City won against Mechal?
Adama City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mechal - Adama City were as follows:
26.12.2025
Adama City
-
Mechal
1:3
21.04.2025
Adama City
-
Mechal
0:2
04.11.2024
Mechal
-
Adama City
2:0
Latest results of Adama City
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 55 |
| 2 | Mechal | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 | Hawassa | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 43 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 29 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sheger Ketema | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | St. George | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hossana | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 35 |
| 15 | Ethiopian Insurance | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Adama City | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Dire Dawa | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 33 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 18:23 | -5 | 30 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 30 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 25 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
