Result
0:0
29/10/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 18
- Referee: Trujillo F. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (356/414) | 85% (331/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (356/414) | 85% (331/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (21/35) | 58% (39/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (101/135) | 72% (94/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/30) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 🟨,
- 12', Tamayo K. 🟨,
- 29', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 63', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 67', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 67', Barrios M. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
- 68', Diaz Samuel M. 🟨,
- 72', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
- 79', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 84', Castro L. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/575xa3r8
Chances of winning
Millonarios
52.1% | Draw
27.1% | Once Caldas
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Millonarios - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.65) |
3.44 ↓
(3.71) |
4.53 ↓
(4.79) |
7.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 0.
- Millonarios has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Once Caldas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Millonarios is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Once Caldas?
Millonarios has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Millonarios?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Once Caldas were as follows:
11.06.2025
Millonarios
-
Once Caldas
2:2
08.06.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
0:0
11.05.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
2:2
05.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
1:0
08.09.2024
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
1:1
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Medellin ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 43:28 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 37:22 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 27:16 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | Fortaleza ✔ | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25:17 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Junior | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | America De Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 26 |
| 9 | Alianza | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 26 |
| 10 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | Millonarios | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 | Pereira | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:32 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13:25 | -12 | 16 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
