Result
1:2
26/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Muradov K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 75', Jafarli R. 🟥,
- 78', 1 - 1, Allahverdiyev I. ⚽,
- 84', 1 - 2, Mammadli K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mingachevir
57.2% | Draw
24.2% | Baku Sporting
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mingachevir's performance.Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baku Sporting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mingachevir that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baku Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mingachevir - Baku Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.87) |
3.91 ↑
(3.3) |
5.1 ↑
(3.82) |
5.5%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mingachevir is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mingachevir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mingachevir won against Baku Sporting?
Mingachevir has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baku Sporting won against Mingachevir?
Baku Sporting has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mingachevir - Baku Sporting were as follows:
24.04.2025
Mingachevir
-
Baku Sporting
4:0
20.02.2025
Baku Sporting
-
Mingachevir
0:1
08.11.2024
Mingachevir
-
Baku Sporting
1:2
Latest results of Mingachevir
Latest results of Baku Sporting
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 38:12 | 26 | 36 |
| 2 | Baku Sporting | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 25:13 | 12 | 33 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28:15 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | Sabail | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | Zaqatala | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | MOIK Baku | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Difai Agsu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 12 |
| 10 | Shimal | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14:44 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
