Result
4:0
21/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 3
- Referee: Jaanovits J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Mannilaan M. ⚽, Vastsuk B. (A),
- 41', 2 - 0, Mashchenko D. ⚽, Musolitin O. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kask K. ↓, Sotsugov D. ↑,
- 52', Prunn S. 🟨,
- 60', Tarassenkov D. ↓, Boronilstsikov A. ↑,
- 60', Vastsuk B. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
- 65', Sinilaid S. 🟨,
- 67', Mannilaan M. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 70', Kivi A. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 0, Ivanov N. ⚽,
- 75', Talu R. ↓, Vahermagi J. ↑,
- 78', Vahermagi J. 🟨,
- 81', Ivanov N. ↓, Iljin A. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 0, Orlov M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju
75% | Draw
15.7% | Kuressaare
9.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme Kalju's performance.Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kuressaare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme Kalju that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kuressaare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nõmme Kalju - Kuressaare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.38) |
5.92 ↑
(4.2) |
9.93 ↑
(4.5) |
7.8%
(18.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 5.
- Nõmme Kalju is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Kuressaare has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Nõmme Kalju has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:11. (average 2.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:6. (average 2.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Kuressaare?
Nõmme Kalju has won 11 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Nõmme Kalju?
Kuressaare has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Kuressaare were as follows:
25.10.2025
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:1
31.08.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Kuressaare
2:0
18.05.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Kuressaare
4:0
12.04.2025
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:2
02.11.2024
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:2
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kalju | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Levadia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Harju JK Laagri | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Paide | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Flora | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Narva | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
