Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 9
- Referee: Jaanovits J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Laanelaid K. ⚽, Jarvelaid H. (A),
- 41', Dacosta O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Dacosta O. ↓, Chisala B. ↑,
- 62', Kivi A. ↓, Roivassepp G. ↑,
- 70', Saar R. 🟥,
- 77', 1 - 1, Vahermagi J. ⚽,
- 84', Talu R. ↓, Leivategija M. ↑,
- 86', Laanelaid K. ↓, Truuvaart A. ↑,
- 86', Kabal G. ↓, Vain B. ↑,
- 88', Demidov E. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
- 89', Matas K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Piil R. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Frolov A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Nõmme United
55.1% | Draw
22.1% | Kuressaare
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Nõmme United - Kuressaare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.8) |
4.13 ↑
(3.8) |
4 ↑
(3.64) |
9.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 0.
- Nõmme United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kuressaare's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nõmme United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nõmme United is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme United won against Kuressaare?
Nõmme United has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Nõmme United?
Kuressaare has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme United - Kuressaare were as follows:
07.02.2026
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme United
3:3
19.01.2025
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme United
2:1
28.09.2024
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme United
4:1
01.09.2024
Nõmme United
-
Kuressaare
2:2
16.06.2024
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme United
1:1
Latest results of Nõmme United
Latest results of Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 | 24 |
| 2 | Kalju | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Flora | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Paide | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | Narva | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:29 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
