Result
3:2
11/07/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 19
- Referee: Laane K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Jurisoo T. ⚽, Prunn S. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Vain B. ↓, Jarvelaid H. ↑,
- 56', Chisala B. 🟨,
- 63', Krasnov I. ↓, Matas K. ↑,
- 63', Chisala B. ↓, Ounapuu E. ↑,
- 63', Truuvaart A. ↓, Laanelaid K. ↑,
- 72', Matas K. 🟨,
- 74', Kivi A. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
- 74', Roivassepp G. ↓, Vahermagi J. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Matas K. ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 1, Oostenbrink K. ⚽, Frolov A. (A),
- 81', Oostenbrink K. ↓, Vendelin T. ↑,
- 84', Sinilaid S. ↓, Lukas R. ↑,
- 84', Demidov E. ↓, Leivategija M. ↑,
- 90', Prunn S. ↓, Vahermagi J. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Morishige Y. (Own goal),
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nõmme United
49.5% | Draw
23.6% | Kuressaare
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Nõmme United - Kuressaare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.78) |
3.9 ↑
(3.74) |
3.42 ↓
(3.77) |
8.5%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nõmme United - Kuressaare?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nõmme United will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nõmme United: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB, 1st Half - Nõmme United (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Nõmme United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme United won against Kuressaare?
Nõmme United has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Nõmme United?
Kuressaare has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme United - Kuressaare were as follows:
20.05.2026
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme United
2:1
25.04.2026
Nõmme United
-
Kuressaare
2:1
07.02.2026
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme United
3:3
19.01.2025
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme United
2:1
28.09.2024
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme United
4:1
Latest results of Nõmme United
Latest results of Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 64:20 | 44 | 59 |
| 2 | Flora | 25 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 49:32 | 17 | 45 |
| 3 | Kalju | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45:22 | 23 | 44 |
| 4 | Paide | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:31 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 38 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 25 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 36:41 | -5 | 31 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 33:46 | -13 | 28 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd | 25 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 42:60 | -18 | 25 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 25 |
| 10 | Narva | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 18:57 | -39 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
