Result
0:3
17/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (324/426) | 68% (207/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (324/426) | 68% (207/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (18/61) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (45/84) | 60% (72/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Suwama K. ↓, Deng T. ↑,
- 11', Sato K. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Matsuda T. ⚽, Nagasawa S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Amano J. 🟨,
- 54', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
- 57', Fukuoka S. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 59', Amano J. ↓, Elber ↑,
- 66', Hirato T. ↓, Takeda S. ↑,
- 66', Nagasawa S. ↓, Murilo de Souza ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Okugawa M. ⚽,
- 69', Anderson Lopes 🟨,
- 75', Kida T. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
- 75', Yan ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
- 75', Tono D. ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Fukuda S. ⚽,
- 84', Okugawa M. ↓, Patrick William ↑,
- 84', Matsuda T. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Yokohama F. Marinos
36% | Draw
27.8% | Kyoto Sanga
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yokohama F. Marinos's form might have worsened.Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.3) |
3.38 ↓
(3.45) |
2.6 ↓
(2.98) |
6.4%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kyoto will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 31.2% – 83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 3.
- Yokohama FM has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kyoto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Yokohama FM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Noguchi R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Popp W.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kyoto: Asada S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kyoto: Hara T.
(Injury)
Marco Tulio
(Inactive)
- We predict that Kyoto will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Kyoto Sanga?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
13.09.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
17.03.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:3
03.12.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
3:1
07.05.2023
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kyoto Sanga
4:1
14.09.2022
Kyoto Sanga
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:2
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 | Verdy | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 16:29 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
