Red Star vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen).

Ligue 2 - Round 22
Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.16	1.68
Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
8	1
Passes
93% (492/531)	89% (351/393)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.16	1.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.14	2.40
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
10	4
Blocked shots
5	1
Shots inside the box
12	7
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
30	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
9	14
Passes
93% (492/531)	89% (351/393)
Long passes
81% (35/43)	56% (28/50)
Passes in final third
84% (147/175)	77% (55/71)
Crosses
37% (16/43)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	0.45
Throw ins
16	9
Fouls
14	9
Tackles
50% (6/12)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
38	47
Clearances
12	39
Interceptions
3	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
2.40	0.14
Goals prevented
-0.60	0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Touzghar R. 🟨,
31', Huard M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', Haag G. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Anziani J. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Sadik O. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
67', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Trani G. ↑,
67', Sylla D. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Sissoko O. ⚽, Versini G. (A),
72', Haag G. ↓, Pierret B. ↑,
72', Ikanga J. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
76', Versini G. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
79', Ba P. M. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
82', Danger B. 🟨,
83', Meddah D. 🟨,
86', 0 - 3, Dong K. ⚽, Touzghar R. (A),
90+3', Touzghar R. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Red Star
42.6%

Draw
28.1%

Pau
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.3%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.7%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Red Star - Pau Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.31)	3.35 ↑ (3.17)	3.21 ↑ (3.03)	6.6% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Red Star - Pau?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pau (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Red Star (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Red Star (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Red Star (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Star will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Pau (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Lemonnier P. (Injury) Pierret B. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Glossoa N. (Injury) Meddah D. (Inactive) Raveyre N. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Pau: Briancon A. (Injury) Versini G. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Pau?

Red Star has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Red Star?

Pau has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Pau were as follows:

12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3

17.01.2025 Red Star - Pau 1:3

22.11.2024 Pau - Red Star 4:1

Latest results of Red Star

30.01.2026 Rodez - Red Star 1:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Red Star - Boulogne 2:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Grenoble - Red Star 0:3 ✺

03.01.2026 Troyes - Red Star 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Red Star - Reims 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Pau

30.01.2026 Laval - Pau 0:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Pau - Grenoble 2:2 ✺

16.01.2026 Dunkerque - Pau 3:1 ✺

03.01.2026 Pau - Rodez 3:3 ✺

12.12.2025 Pau - Amiens 1:2 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes ✔	33	20	7	6	60:32	28	67
2	Le Mans	33	15	14	4	48:31	17	59
3	St Etienne	33	17	6	10	54:38	16	57
4	Red Star	33	16	9	8	44:36	8	57
5	Rodez	33	14	13	6	43:38	5	55
6	Reims	33	13	14	6	48:32	16	53
7	Annecy	33	15	7	11	48:37	11	52
8	Montpellier	33	14	8	11	40:30	10	50
9	Pau FC	33	12	9	12	45:57	-12	45
10	Dunkerque	33	11	10	12	51:42	9	43
11	Guingamp	33	10	10	13	42:48	-6	40
12	Grenoble	33	7	15	11	32:39	-7	36
13	Boulogne	33	9	9	15	33:47	-14	36
14	Clermont	33	8	10	15	37:44	-7	34
15	Nancy	33	8	10	15	32:50	-18	34
16	Laval	33	5	14	14	28:47	-19	29
17	Bastia	33	5	13	15	23:37	-14	28
18	Amiens ✔	33	6	6	21	37:60	-23	24

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National

Clinched Spots for Teams

Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National