Result
3:1
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 28
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (333/410) | 86% (376/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.58 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (333/410) | 86% (376/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 58% (31/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (84/114) | 75% (73/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 47% (8/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.64 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 42% (8/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 3.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Nicolaescu I. ⚽, Brouwers L. (A),
- 32', 2 - 0, Kersten S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Doodeman N. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
- 46', Brouwers L. ↓, van Ee E. ↑,
- 64', Sigurgeirsson R. ↓, Nizet R. ↑,
- 64', Joosten P. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 0, Sebaoui I. ⚽, van Ee E. (A),
- 72', Nicolaescu I. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Bosch J. ⚽, Kehrer E. (A),
- 79', Sebaoui I. ↓, Trenskow J. ↑,
- 81', Lachkar A. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
- 88', Behounek R. 🟨,
- 89', Jahanbakhsh A. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
- 89', Linday M. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
62.9% | Draw
22.4% | Willem II
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heerenveen's performance.Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heerenveen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Heerenveen - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.77) |
4.22 ↑
(3.89) |
6.53 ↑
(4.18) |
5.3%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Willem II?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Heerenveen (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Heerenveen will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Heerenveen will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 3.
- Recent matches Heerenveen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Willem II has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Heerenveen is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Braude O.
(Yellow Cards)
Nunnely C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Willem II: Lambert B.
(Inactive)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
Sandra C.
(Inactive)
Tirpan M.
(Inactive)
Vaesen K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Trenskow J.
(Knock)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:25 (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:11 (average 2.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Willem II?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Heerenveen?
Willem II has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Willem II were as follows:
08.12.2024
Willem II
-
Heerenveen
1:2
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 77:34 | 43 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 60:39 | 21 | 52 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 67:45 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Ajax | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Twente | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sittard | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 32 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:52 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 32:69 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
