Cheltenham Town vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.51
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
51% (107/209)62% (176/285)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.031.54
Total shots
718
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1431
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
812
Passes
51% (107/209)62% (176/285)
Long passes
20% (14/71)24% (14/59)
Passes in final third
42% (35/84)45% (46/103)
Crosses
35% (8/23)43% (9/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.92
Fouls
128
Tackles
60% (9/15)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5878
Clearances Total
3831
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.540.03
Goals prevented
-0.460.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Dieng T. 🟨,
  • 33', Backwell T. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Wood R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', Dieng T. 🟨,
  • 59', Kelly P. , Clifton H. ,
  • 59', Wood R. , McGrath J. ,
  • 60', Sharp B. , Street R. ,
  • 67', Backwell T. , Dulson L. ,
  • 67', Miller G. , Hay A. ,
  • 77', Gibson J. , Sbarra J. ,
  • 78', Anderson T. , Ironside J. ,
  • 88', Sbarra J. 🟨,
  • 89', 0 - 1, Sterry J. , Molyneux L. (A),
  • 90+2', Bradbury T. , Haynes R. ,
  • 90+3', Jude-Boyd A. , King T. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 2, Street R. ,

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
18.9%
Draw
25.3%
Doncaster Rovers
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 26.9% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 25.8% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.
  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.92
    (3.53)
    3.71
    (3.48)
    1.69
    (2.01)
    6.3%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Doncaster will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Cheltenham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Doncaster is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Doncaster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Cheltenham have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Doncaster is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Ironside J. (Inactive) Maxwell J. (Inactive) McGrath J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bennett S. (Inactive) Bowman R. (Inactive) Power D. (Hamstring Injury) Young L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Doncaster: Olowu J. (Inactive)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Doncaster Rovers - Cheltenham Town 2:2
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League