Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 21
- Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (442/515) | 78% (248/318) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (442/515) | 78% (248/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 33% (13/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (156/198) | 65% (41/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (8/46) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 33% (5/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Cistana A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 1, Rao E. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
- 60', 1 - 1, Ciervo R. ⚽, Shpendi C. (A),
- 63', Rao E. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
- 63', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Dickmann L. ↑,
- 69', Mane M. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
- 72', De Pieri G. 🟨,
- 73', Bisoli D. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
- 74', Magni V. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 2, Moncini G. ⚽, Nikolaou D. (A),
- 80', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
- 81', Mangraviti M. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
- 81', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 81', Verreth M. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 82', De Pieri G. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,
- 82', Moncini G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cesena
57% | Draw
25.9% | Bari
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cesena's performance.Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Cesena - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.8) |
3.63 ↑
(3.43) |
5.47 ↑
(4.49) |
6.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cesena - Bari?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Cesena (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Cesena (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cesena will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cesena will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 0.
- Recent performances by Cesena have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bari's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Cesena is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Bari: Castrovilli G.
(Inactive)
Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Bari?
Cesena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Cesena?
Bari has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Bari were as follows:
02.11.2025
Bari
-
Cesena
1:0
25.01.2025
Cesena
-
Bari
1:1
07.12.2024
Bari
-
Cesena
1:0
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 64:32 | 32 | 68 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
