Result
1:1
25/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 30
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (324/415) | 76% (264/349) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (324/415) | 76% (264/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 41% (30/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (79/117) | 60% (67/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Acosta K. ⚽,
- 45+6', Leo Borges 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Acosta K. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
- 58', Knap K. ↓, Klich M. ↑,
- 58', Minchev M. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
- 60', Lawa N. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
- 61', Leo Borges ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
- 66', Traore B. 🟨,
- 72', Batoum J. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
- 80', Agger M. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 81', Dominguez M. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
- 81', Traore B. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 84', Wojcik O. 🟨,
- 87', Mukairu P. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 90', Wojcik O. 🟨,
- 90+5', Koutris L. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Zahiroleslam K. ⚽, Klich M. (A),
- 90+9', Ali H. 🟨,
- 90+10', Cuic F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cracovia
43.5% | Draw
29.4% | Pogoń Szczecin
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.21) |
3.15 ↑
(3.08) |
3.42 ↑
(2.84) |
7.4%
(12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 1.
- Cracovia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pogoń Szczecin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cracovia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cracovia: Al Ammari A.
(Red Card)
Bogacz W.
(Broken collarbone)
Charpentier G.
(Inactive)
Kakabadze O.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Minchev M.
(Inactive)
Selan B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Ali H.
(Inactive)
Greenwood S.
(Inactive)
Mendy B.
(Injury)
Molnar R.
(Knee Injury)
Pozo J.
(Inactive)
Wahlqvist L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Cracovia has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Cracovia?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
25.10.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Cracovia
2:1
14.03.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Cracovia
5:2
14.09.2024
Cracovia
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:1
30.03.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Cracovia
3:1
23.09.2023
Cracovia
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:5
Latest results of Cracovia
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
