Arenas Armilla vs Marbellí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 25

Match Stats

Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Aguilar Rosello P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 🟥,
  • 71', 1 - 1, ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Arenas Armilla
43.6%
Draw
30.5%
Marbellí
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 29.3% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 28.2% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Arenas Armilla - Marbellí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.95)
    3
    (3.1)
    3.53
    (3.76)
    9.5%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Arenas Armilla - Marbellí?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arenas Armilla (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Arenas Armilla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arenas Armilla - Marbellí were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Marbellí - Arenas Armilla 1:0
    22.12.2024 Arenas Armilla - Marbellí 1:0
    Latest results of Arenas Armilla
    Latest results of Marbellí
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motril27159346:222454
    2Mijas Las Lagunas27156631:171451
    3Arenas Armilla26147532:171549
    4Torre del Mar26129532:211145
    5Churriana de la Vega27127824:28-443
    6Marbelli26117829:22740
    7Torredonjimeno271010732:31140
    8Huetor Vega271071032:32037
    9Atletico de Porcuna261131231:26536
    10Granada CF B27811834:33135
    11UD San Pedro26871126:31-531
    12Melilla B26791019:22-330
    13CD Alhaurino27791130:36-630
    14Martos27791128:34-630
    15Huetor Tajar27781232:36-429
    16Mancha26761321:30-927
    17El Palo27581423:43-2023
    18CD Torreperogil26461615:36-2118

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation