Result
3:2
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 12
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (177/294) | 79% (470/596) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (177/294) | 79% (470/596) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (27/82) | 19% (15/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (62/128) | 50% (52/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -1.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Burrell W. ⚽, Smith R. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Davies W. ⚽, Bonds E. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 2, Muldoon J. ⚽, Fox B. (A),
- 61', Norwood J. ↓, Graydon R. ↑,
- 61', McCann L. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
- 71', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
- 71', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Bonds E. ⚽, Evans C. (A),
- 78', 3 - 2, Graydon R. ⚽, Evans C. (A),
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town
50.1% | Draw
26.7% | Harrogate Town
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.8) |
3.51 ↓
(3.62) |
4.02 ↓
(4.17) |
6.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 16).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Harrogate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fleetwood is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Gibson L.
(Inactive)
Hill T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomson G.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Injury)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Rooney S.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Cass L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Fleetwood won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Harrogate Town?
Fleetwood Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Fleetwood Town?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town were as follows:
21.04.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Fleetwood Town
3:1
29.12.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Harrogate Town
1:1
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
