Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (346/418) | 73% (219/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (346/418) | 73% (219/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (121/166) | 53% (28/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Baez C. 🟨,
- 28', Baez C. (Pen),
- 39', Rios J. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Baez C. ⚽, Suarez Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Castillo D. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
- 46', Ordonez F. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
- 46', Bone F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 57', Gil N. 🟨,
- 59', Chara Y. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
- 65', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 68', Caicedo L. 🟨,
- 68', Paiva G. 🟨,
- 70', Rivas J. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 70', Paiva G. ↓, Titi ↑,
- 73', Mendez J. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
- 74', Moreno D. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
- 74', Guerrero J. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 0, Enamorado J. ⚽, Gutierrez T. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ywfj6pdm
Chances of winning
Junior Barranquilla
74.8% | Draw
17.5% | Deportivo Pasto
7.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Junior Barranquilla's performance.Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+3%)
Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.4) |
5.33 ↑
(4.25) |
12.02 ↑
(8.23) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 1.
- Junior has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Pasto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Junior is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Deportivo Pasto?
Junior Barranquilla has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Junior Barranquilla?
Deportivo Pasto has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
12.04.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Junior Barranquilla
3:3
28.08.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
08.02.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:0
12.08.2023
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:0
18.02.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 17 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 | Santa Fe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Alianza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 20 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
