Result
4:3
03/05/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (216/279) | 77% (257/335) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (216/279) | 77% (257/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 34% (18/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (48/85) | 64% (54/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 2.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | -1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Gil M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 46', Barrios C. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
- 52', Castrillon B. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
- 52', Bacca C. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 52', Chara Y. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Paiva G. ⚽, Canchimbo J. (A),
- 56', 1 - 2, Estupinan A. ⚽, Gil M. (A),
- 63', 2 - 2, Muriel L. ⚽, Paiva G. (A),
- 69', Chavez D. 🟨,
- 70', 3 - 2, Canchimbo J. ⚽, Gutierrez T. (A),
- 75', Chavez D. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
- 76', Goyes H. 🟨,
- 78', 4 - 2, Muriel L. ⚽, Gutierrez T. (A),
- 81', Pestana J. 🟨,
- 82', 4 - 3, Caicedo J. ⚽, Serje Orozco E. C. (A),
- 83', Rios J. ↓, Angel Bernal F. S. ↑,
- 86', Canchimbo J. 🟨,
- 86', Gil M. 🟨,
- 87', Gil M. ↓, Rueda L. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/pae8bjf9
Chances of winning
Junior Barranquilla
50.8% | Draw
27.1% | Deportivo Pasto
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.79) |
3.42 ↑
(3.39) |
4.22 ↓
(4.57) |
7.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Junior (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
- Deportivo Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Junior has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Junior is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Deportivo Pasto?
Junior Barranquilla has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Junior Barranquilla?
Deportivo Pasto has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
28.09.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:0
12.04.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Junior Barranquilla
3:3
28.08.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
08.02.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:0
12.08.2023
Junior Barranquilla
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:0
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
