Santos vs Palmeiras: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Santos - Palmeiras
13/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 13
Santos - Palmeiras - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Santos
27.1%
Draw
30.4%
Palmeiras
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 30.4% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 29.9% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Santos - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (3.54)
    3.11
    (3.12)
    2.23
    (2.22)
    5.8%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.
    • Palmeiras is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Santos: Igor Vinicius (Injury) Joao Pedro Chermont (Yellow Cards) Joao Schmidt (Yellow Cards) Rollheiser B. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Figueiredo (Inactive) Murilo (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Palmeiras were as follows:
    22.01.2025 Santos - Palmeiras 1:2
    07.04.2024 Palmeiras - Santos 2:0
    31.03.2024 Santos - Palmeiras 1:0
    28.01.2024 Palmeiras - Santos 2:1
    08.10.2023 Palmeiras - Santos 1:2
    Latest results of Santos
    12.06.2025 Fortaleza - Santos 2:3
    01.06.2025 Santos - Botafogo RJ 0:1
    28.05.2025 Santos - RB Leipzig 1:3
    25.05.2025 Vitória Salvador - Santos 0:1
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    04.07.2025 Palmeiras - Chelsea 1:2
    23.06.2025 Inter Miami - Palmeiras 2:2
    19.06.2025 Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo 2:0
    15.06.2025 Palmeiras - Porto 0:0
    01.06.2025 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1283126:42227
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bahia1373316:12424
    4Bragantino1272314:11323
    5Palmeiras1171312:8422
    6Botafogo RJ1263316:7921
    7Fluminense1162315:12320
    8Atletico-MG1355314:12220
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Internacional1335513:18-514
    14Vasco1341814:18-413
    15Sao Paulo1326510:16-612
    16Santos1232711:14-311
    17Vitoria1325610:15-511
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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