Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 30
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.541.03
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
84
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
108
Passes
64% (190/296)70% (274/390)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.541.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.69
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
103
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
107
Passes
64% (190/296)70% (274/390)
Long passes
25% (16/63)33% (26/80)
Passes in final third
63% (71/112)54% (49/91)
Crosses
11% (2/19)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.02
Throw ins
2240
Fouls
710
Tackles
82% (9/11)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5554
Clearances
3125
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.691.47
Goals prevented
0.69-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Whalley S. ,
  • 45+1', Cundy R. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Love D. , Whalley S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Henderson A. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Matthews D. , Whalley S. (A),
  • 60', Deeming C. , Davison J. ,
  • 66', O'Brien C. , Sass F. ,
  • 66', Henderson A. , Grant C. ,
  • 69', Nurse G. , Martin J. ,
  • 69', Wilson J. , Sherring S. ,
  • 73', Woods J. , Abimbola D. ,
  • 73', Conneely S. , Butterfield L. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Thomas J. ,
  • 77', Davison J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
47.9%
Draw
28.2%
Cheltenham Town
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 28.5% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.4% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2)
    3.3
    (3.23)
    3.93
    (3.58)
    6.8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: Accrington Stanley will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
    • Accrington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cheltenham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Accrington is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Broom R. (Injury) King T. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0
    28.01.2025 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 0:0
    01.10.2024 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    11.02.2023 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0
    17.09.2022 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 1:0
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One