Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 15
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (247/332) | 79% (314/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (247/332) | 79% (314/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (28/61) | 51% (40/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (61/100) | 61% (75/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Ogidi Nwankwo N. 🟨,
- 32', Zamburek J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Koswal D. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
- 54', Hornkamp J. 🟨,
- 65', Zamburek J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
- 65', van Gilst T. ↓, Borges Sanches Y. ↑,
- 65', Hetli S. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 1, Zonneveld M. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
- 72', te Wierik M. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
- 72', Limbombe B. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 76', Ogidi Nwankwo N. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 76', Brouwer P. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
- 84', Mesik I. 🟨,
- 85', Noslin T. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Mesik I. ⚽, Engels M. (A),
- 90+4', Owusu T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
41.4% | Draw
25.5% | Telstar
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Heracles Almelo - Telstar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.14) |
3.7 ↑
(3.6) |
2.86 ↓
(3.13) |
5.6%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Telstar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Heracles (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Heracles (1.67) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Heracles Almelo will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Heracles (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- Heracles is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Telstar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Kulenovic L.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:0. (average 4.3:0).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:0. (average 4.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Telstar?
Heracles Almelo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Heracles Almelo?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Telstar were as follows:
24.02.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Telstar
7:0
16.09.2022
Telstar
-
Heracles Almelo
0:3
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
