Once Caldas vs Envigado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.46
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
89% (451/509)81% (222/275)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.44
Total shots
117
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
2113
Passes
89% (451/509)81% (222/275)
Long passes
62% (31/50)33% (13/40)
Passes in final third
78% (142/182)47% (26/55)
Crosses
14% (3/22)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.45
Throw-ins
2512
Fouls
1422
Tackles
89% (8/9)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4535
Clearances
1727
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.440.90
Goals prevented
0.44-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Palacio J. 🟨,
  • 31', Valencia Mosquera D. A. 🟨,
  • 38', Holguin J. 🟨,
  • 43', Lopez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Holguin J. , Quejada J. ,
  • 51', Quinones D. , Palacios L. ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Cardona J. , Gomez P. (A),
  • 63', Hurtado W. , Araujo J. ,
  • 66', Cardona J. 🟨,
  • 72', Beltran E. , Diaz J. ,
  • 77', Ibarguen A. , Cubides S. ,
  • 80', Garces J. , Soto T. ,
  • 80', Valencia Mosquera D. A. , Berrio F. ,
  • 80', Palacio J. , Catano J. ,
  • 84', Berrio F. 🟥,
  • 84', Gomez P. 🟨,
  • 89', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Tamayo K. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yzjjjj2w

Chances of winning


Once Caldas
52%
Draw
27.8%
Envigado
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 26.2% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 25.7% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Once Caldas - Envigado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.72)
    3.36
    (3.5)
    4.76
    (4.5)
    6.7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Envigado?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Once Caldas: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 4.
    • Once Caldas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Envigado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Once Caldas is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 1.3:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Envigado were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Envigado - Once Caldas 1:2
    13.01.2025 Envigado - Once Caldas 0:2
    21.09.2024 Envigado - Once Caldas 0:1
    10.03.2024 Once Caldas - Envigado 2:1
    15.09.2023 Once Caldas - Envigado 0:0
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Latest results of Envigado
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 15111330:111934
    2Dep. Pasto1584321:17428
    3Deportes Tolima1576224:131127
    4Once Caldas1567226:19725
    5Junior1581621:20125
    6America De Cali1573519:12724
    7Dep. Cali1564517:13422
    8Aguilas1564516:17-122
    9Inter Bogotu00e11557318:20-222
    10Millonarios1563625:17821
    11Llaneros1548316:14220
    12Bucaramanga1547418:14419
    13Santa Fe1547418:19-119
    14Ind. Medellin1445519:19017
    15Fortaleza1537517:23-616
    16Cucuta1636721:27-615
    17Alianza1536610:22-1215
    18Jaguares de Cordoba16421014:28-1414
    19Chico1432911:21-1011
    20Pereira1506914:29-156

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